The latest on Llama 4, and whether it signals a slowdown in AI, or solid progress. Plus, a deep dive on that viral prediction of superintelligence by 2027, and Dario Amodei’s cautionary words on what could stop AI progress in its tracks. o3 news, and more, as well.
Weights & Biases: https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_source=sponsorship&utm_medium=simple_bench&utm_campaign=ai_explained
DeepSeek Doc: https://www.patreon.com/posts/openai-is-not-r1-125869969
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
Chapters:
00:00 – Introduction
00:47 – Stock Crash
02:28 – Llama 4
10:55 – o3 News
11:59 – OpenAI non-profit?
13:13 – AI 2027
Llama 4 Release: https://ai.meta.com/blog/llama-4-multimodal-intelligence/
Dario Amodei Comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esCSpbDPJik
Knowledge Cut-off: https://www.llama.com/docs/model-cards-and-prompt-formats/llama4_omni/
Aider Polyglot: https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/
Gemini 1.5: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.05530
Fiction-LiveBench: https://fiction.live/stories/Fiction-liveBench-Mar-25-2025/oQdzQvKHw8JyXbN87
OpenAI Valuation: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/technology/openai-valuation-300-billion.html?login=smartlock&auth=login-smartlock
OpenAI Cybersecurity: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-16/openai-working-with-us-military-on-cybersecurity-tools-for-veterans
Deep research System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/deep-research-system-card.pdf
https://openai.com/index/paperbench/
AI 2027: https://ai-2027.com/
METR Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499
OpenAI non-profit: https://openai.com/index/nonprofit-commission-guidance/
Kokotajlo predictions 2021: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-2026-looks-like
Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
